默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

45%

55%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 45.41%2.20公平赔率

EV -1.00%

优势 -0.460%

Kelly -0.849%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布

44.01%45.23%45.39%47.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.932.072.072.1851.81%48.27%48.31%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 54.59%1.83公平赔率

EV -2.29%

优势 -1.28%

Kelly -2.90%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布

52.39%54.77%54.61%55.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.631.721.731.7961.35%58.08%57.80%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：45.41%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：54.59%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.20。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.18，期望值为-1.00%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.00%E -0.460%K -0.849%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-26 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.00%E -0.460%K -0.849%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-26 08:34
Coolbet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-26 07:54
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 07:54
Pinnacle🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-26 08:44
1xBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-26 08:44
FanDuel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-26 08:44
Betsson🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-26 08:29
NordicBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-26 08:29
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-26 07:54
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-26 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-26 07:44
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-26 07:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-26 08:43
PMU (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:19
BetRivers🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:19
Bally Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 08:19
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-26 07:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-26 08:44
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-26 08:29
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-26 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-26 08:44
ReBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-26 08:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 07:44
Fliff🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-26 07:54
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-26 07:44
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-26 08:44
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-26 08:49
BetUS🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.54%E -5.35%K -10.86%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-26 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.54%E -5.35%K -10.86%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.38%E -5.65%K -14.22%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-26 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -12.35%E -6.40%K -13.28%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.02%E -6.76%K -17.49%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-26 08:43

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。