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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 53.93%1.85fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%54.19%53.65%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.741.731.8962.11%57.43%57.80%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%45.81%46.35%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.052.052.2053.48%48.70%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 53.93%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 46.07%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV +1.92%E +1.02%K +2.16%G +0.042% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -13.85%E -7.40%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.31%E -0.717%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.00%E -6.28%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.79%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.47%E -1.94%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.01%E -2.25%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.09%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.94%E -3.43%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.63%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.16%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.16%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.88%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.897%E +0.410%K +0.754%G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.946%E -0.440%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 08:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -8.86%E -5.24%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -11.54%E -6.01%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.36%E +0.617%K +1.13%G +0.015% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.02%E -6.68%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.36%E +0.617%K +1.13%G +0.015% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.18%E -8.18%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.946%E -0.440%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.