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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-05-21 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 53.93%1.85公平赔率
EV +1.92%
优势 +1.02%
Kelly +2.16%
增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
49.73%54.19%53.65%57.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.741.731.8962.11%57.43%57.80%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 46.07%2.17公平赔率
EV +1.36%
优势 +0.617%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.82%45.81%46.35%50.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.872.052.052.2053.48%48.70%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：53.93%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：46.07%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.85。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.89，对应+1.92%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV +1.92%E +1.02%K +2.16%G +0.042%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -13.85%E -7.40%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 08:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.31%E -0.717%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.00%E -6.28%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 08:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.79%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.93%E -1.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 08:50
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.47%E -1.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.01%E -2.25%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.09%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.94%E -3.43%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 08:49
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.63%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.16%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:49
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 08:50
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.16%E -5.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.88%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 08:50
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.897%E +0.410%K +0.754%G +0.007%4.1%2026-05-21 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.946%E -0.440%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:39
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.55%E -2.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -8.86%E -5.24%K -12.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -11.54%E -6.01%K -12.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 08:49
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.36%E +0.617%K +1.13%G +0.015%5.3%2026-05-20 17:48
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 22:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.02%E -6.68%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.36%E +0.617%K +1.13%G +0.015%6.1%2026-05-20 22:19
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.18%E -8.18%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.946%E -0.440%K -0.822%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 22:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。