Language:English
Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 48.19%2.08fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.19%48.00%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0554.05%51.35%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)
Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.81%52.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.801.9057.80%55.08%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 48.19%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 51.81%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.84%E -5.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -4.11%E -2.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -1.55%E -0.818%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 08:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.11%E -2.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 06:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.59%E -2.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 06:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 06:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.22%E -3.44%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 06:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 06:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 06:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.45%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.41%E -5.00%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.81%E -5.00%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.55%E -0.818%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 06:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.