默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-05-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 48.19%2.08公平赔率

EV -1.22%

优势 -0.594%

Kelly -1.16%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布

45.91%48.19%48.00%50.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.951.952.0554.05%51.35%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 51.81%1.93公平赔率

EV -1.55%

优势 -0.818%

Kelly -1.73%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布

49.60%51.81%52.00%54.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.821.801.9057.80%55.08%55.56%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：48.19%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：51.81%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.08。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.05，期望值为-1.22%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.84%E -5.66%K -13.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-01 22:54
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-02 05:00
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 08:55
Coolbet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 08:10
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 08:55
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.20%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-01 22:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -4.11%E -2.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -1.55%E -0.818%K -1.73%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-02 08:46
William Hill🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.11%E -2.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-02 06:31
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.59%E -2.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-02 06:30
1xBet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-02 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-02 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-02 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-02 06:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 05:00
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 08:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 05:00
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-02 08:40
BetRivers🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-02 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-02 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-02 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-02 08:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-02 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.22%E -3.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-02 06:29
Bovada🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 06:35
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 08:10
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 06:31
Everygame🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.45%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-02 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.41%E -5.00%K -10.69%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.81%E -5.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-05-02 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.89%E -5.29%K -11.37%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.55%E -0.818%K -1.73%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-02 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-02 06:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。