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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%54.75%55.09%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.741.8562.50%57.87%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%45.25%44.91%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.072.072.1653.19%48.31%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 54.93%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 45.07%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +1.62%E +0.874%K +1.90%G +0.031% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -8.05%E -3.95%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 04:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.62%E +0.874%K +1.90%G +0.031% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -15.26%E -8.12%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 04:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 04:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 04:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 04:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 19:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 04:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 04:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 03:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 04:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.92%E -6.05%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-21 04:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -12.12%E -7.57%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-21 04:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.