默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间: 2026-06-21 04:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 54.93%1.82公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.874%
Kelly +1.90%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.40%54.75%55.09%55.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.731.741.8562.50%57.87%57.47%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 45.07%2.22公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布
44.04%45.25%44.91%49.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.072.072.1653.19%48.31%48.31%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队):54.93%;Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队):45.07%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.82。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.85,对应+1.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +1.62%E +0.874%K +1.90%G +0.031%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -8.05%E -3.95%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-21 04:20
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV +1.62%E +0.874%K +1.90%G +0.031%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -15.26%E -8.12%K -17.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 04:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 04:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 04:09
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 04:19
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 04:18
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 04:19
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 04:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 04:19
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 04:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:20
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:19
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 04:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 04:18
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 19:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 03:19
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 04:10
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 04:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 03:29
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 03:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 13:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 03:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 04:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.92%E -6.05%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-21 04:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -12.12%E -7.57%K -20.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 04:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。