Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%30.81%30.92%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.2836.36%32.93%33.33%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 69.05%1.45fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.19%69.08%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.37%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 30.95%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 69.05%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +1.51%E +0.461%K +0.663%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +1.51%E +0.461%K +0.663%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 08:55
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.583%E +0.179%K +0.259%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.47%E -5.58%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.965%E -0.301%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.23%E -7.87%K -34.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 08:55
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.58%E -0.498%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -4.02%E -2.89%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 08:50
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 08:50
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 08:55
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.40%E -3.94%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:54
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:09
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -1.26%E -0.879%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 08:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 08:50
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.02%E -2.89%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 07:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:05
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 13:59
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 08:50
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 08:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.16%E -6.14%K -24.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.16%E -6.14%K -24.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 20:09
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 08:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -8.85%E -6.71%K -27.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -14.89%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.90%EV -10.23%E -7.87%K -34.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.