默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-09-01 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

31%

69%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 30.95%3.23公平赔率

EV +1.51%

优势 +0.461%

Kelly +0.663%

增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布

28.89%30.81%30.92%32.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.753.043.003.2836.36%32.93%33.33%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 69.05%1.45公平赔率

EV -1.26%

优势 -0.879%

Kelly -2.92%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布

67.76%69.19%69.08%71.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.37%73.53%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：30.95%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：69.05%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.23。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.28，对应+1.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +1.51%E +0.461%K +0.663%G +0.010%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +1.51%E +0.461%K +0.663%G +0.010%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-01 08:55
FanDuel🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.583%E +0.179%K +0.259%G +0.002%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.47%E -5.58%K -21.97%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-01 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.965%E -0.301%K -0.439%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.23%E -7.87%K -34.11%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-01 08:55
1xBet🎯	3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.58%E -0.498%K -0.726%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -4.02%E -2.89%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-01 08:50
Betsson🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 08:50
NordicBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 08:55
Coolbet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.40%E -3.94%K -14.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-01 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:54
BoyleSports🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:55
BetMGM🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-31 20:09
ReBet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -1.26%E -0.879%K -2.92%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-01 08:50
BetUS🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
DraftKings🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.02%E -2.89%K -10.30%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-01 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
Unibet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
BetRivers🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
Bally Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 07:40
888sport🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 06:05
888sport (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 06:05
Caesars🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-31 13:59
Fliff🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.09%E -4.48%K -16.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-01 08:55
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.16%E -6.14%K -24.73%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-01 08:55
Coral🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.16%E -6.14%K -24.73%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-31 20:09
Bovada🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.71%E -3.41%K -12.39%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 08:55
Fanatics🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.78%E -5.02%K -19.37%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-01 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -8.85%E -6.71%K -27.66%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-09-01 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -14.89%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 67.90%EV -10.23%E -7.87%K -34.11%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-09-01 08:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。