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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.75%44.59%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.082.102.2050.51%48.00%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 55.38%1.81fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.25%55.41%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.721.7762.50%58.38%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 44.62%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 55.38%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.833%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.39%E -7.12%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.96%E -2.33%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 16:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.62%E -5.23%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.42%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.73%E -5.97%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -11.65%E -5.88%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.39%E -7.12%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.