默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

45%

55%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 44.62%2.24公平赔率

EV -1.83%

优势 -0.833%

Kelly -1.53%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%44.75%44.59%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.982.082.102.2050.51%48.00%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 55.38%1.81公平赔率

EV -1.98%

优势 -1.12%

Kelly -2.57%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

53.62%55.25%55.41%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.711.721.7762.50%58.38%58.14%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：44.62%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：55.38%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-1.83%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.833%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.39%E -7.12%K -18.99%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-02 08:40
Pinnacle🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-02 08:30
FanDuel🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 08:30
1xBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-02 08:30
NordicBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 18:34
Betsson🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 18:34
DraftKings🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 15:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.96%E -2.33%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-02 08:29
Coolbet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-02 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-02 08:30
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-01 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-01 15:40
ReBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:05
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-01 16:06
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-01 22:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-02 08:25
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-02 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
Bally Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:34
BetRivers🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
Unibet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
Caesars🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-01 14:53
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-01 23:00
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.62%E -5.23%K -13.27%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-02 08:55
BetUS🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.42%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-02 08:30
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-02 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-02 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-02 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.73%E -5.97%K -15.45%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-02 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -11.65%E -5.88%K -11.89%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.39%E -7.12%K -18.99%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-02 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。