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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 44.36%2.25fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%44.23%44.44%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2850.00%46.76%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.77%55.56%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7762.11%59.28%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 44.36%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 55.64%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.15%E +0.503%K +0.895%G +0.010% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.185%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.185%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.07%E -0.481%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 16:22 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.63%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 04:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.06%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 04:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.06%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 04:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 04:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 04:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 04:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 04:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.