La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

Inizio: 2026-04-05 04:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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33 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa)

Previsione 44.36%2.25quota equa
EV +1.15%
Vantaggio +0.503%
Kelly +0.895%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%44.23%44.44%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.152.2850.00%46.76%46.51%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.64%1.80quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.859%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%55.77%55.56%57.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.691.691.7762.11%59.28%59.17%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.15%E +0.503%K +0.895%G +0.010%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.185%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 15:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.185%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 15:50
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.07%E -0.481%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 17:55
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:22
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:29
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 15:44
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 04:20
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 17:50
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 17:50
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:00
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:00
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.63%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 04:20
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 04:24
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 04:20
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.06%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 04:05
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.06%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 04:20
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 04:19
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 04:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 04:19
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 04:09
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 04:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 04:20
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 04:04
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:19
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:19
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 04:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 04:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.