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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 53.13%1.88fair odd
EV +5.72%
Edge +2.87%
Kelly +5.78%
Growth +0.330%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%52.79%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.781.9958.48%55.66%56.18%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.21%46.75%51.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.982.002.1054.05%50.52%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 53.13%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 46.87%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +5.72%E +2.87%K +5.78%G +0.330% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV +0.938%E +0.494%K +1.04%G +0.010% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -12.81%E -6.89%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.656%E -0.351%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 08:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.84%E -2.12%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -3.84%E -2.12%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.50%E -3.69%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.72%E -3.38%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 08:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.16%E -5.35%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.