La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

Inizio: 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa)

Previsione 53.13%1.88quota equa
EV +5.72%
Vantaggio +2.87%
Kelly +5.78%
Crescita +0.330%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.18%52.79%53.25%54.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.801.781.9958.48%55.66%56.18%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.87%2.13quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.744%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.74%47.21%46.75%51.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.982.002.1054.05%50.52%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +5.72%E +2.87%K +5.78%G +0.330%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 13:10
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV +0.938%E +0.494%K +1.04%G +0.010%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -12.81%E -6.89%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 08:35
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:35
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:35
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +0.407%E +0.215%K +0.457%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:35
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.656%E -0.351%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 08:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:48
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.84%E -2.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 08:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -3.84%E -2.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 08:35
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 08:40
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 08:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 08:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.47%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 08:50
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:45
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:45
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 08:40
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.56%E -0.744%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 08:40
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.50%E -3.69%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.72%E -3.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 08:29
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:25
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:45
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 08:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 08:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.25%E -3.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.16%E -5.35%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 08:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.