The School of Odds

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

2026-07-21 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 53.76%1.86fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.46%53.68%53.73%54.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8359%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.32%46.27%48.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.002.1252%50%50%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 08:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.29%E -5.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 08:05
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.29%E -5.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.29%E -5.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.29%E -5.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 08:05
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.62%E -0.885%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.29%E -5.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 08:05
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-21 07:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 04:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 07:30
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.77%E -2.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 08:10
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 05:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 04:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 04:48
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 04:05
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 04:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 07:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.97%E -0.929%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 06:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.97%E -0.929%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 06:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 07:35
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 05:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 07:50
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 07:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 04:04
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 07:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 04:59
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 07:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 04:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 04:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 04:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 05:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 04:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 08:10
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 06:00
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 04:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.