La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

Inizio: 2026-07-21 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa)

Previsione 56.11%1.78quota equa
EV -0.128%
Vantaggio -0.072%
Kelly -0.164%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.62%56.16%56.17%57.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.681.681.7862.89%59.38%59.52%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.89%2.28quota equa
EV +0.074%
Vantaggio +0.033%
Kelly +0.058%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%43.84%43.83%46.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.142.2850.00%46.73%46.73%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.074%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 08:45
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.074%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 08:45
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -0.804%E -0.356%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 08:50
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 08:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 08:35
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 08:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:55
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.42%E -4.50%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.23%E -6.39%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 08:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 08:55
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 08:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:45
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.11%E -5.62%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 08:40
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.51%E -3.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 08:45
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 08:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:35
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.128%E -0.072%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.70%E -4.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 05:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 04:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.67%E -6.00%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 08:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.93%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.22%E -6.11%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 05:00
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%EV -10.79%E -6.79%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.22%E -6.11%K -12.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 08:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.