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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 49.13%2.04fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.13%48.95%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.68%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%50.87%51.05%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.871.9557.47%53.72%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 49.13%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 50.87%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.803%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.96%E -5.63%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-04 08:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.98%E -6.27%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-04 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-04 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -9.60%E -5.22%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -9.96%E -5.63%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.803%E -0.412%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-04 08:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -11.49%E -6.60%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.