默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

49%

51%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 49.13%2.04公平赔率

EV -1.74%

优势 -0.870%

Kelly -1.74%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布

46.95%49.13%48.95%52.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.68%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 50.87%1.97公平赔率

EV -0.803%

优势 -0.412%

Kelly -0.845%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布

48.00%50.87%51.05%53.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.741.861.871.9557.47%53.72%53.48%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：49.13%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：50.87%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.95，期望值为-0.803%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-04 08:40
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.96%E -5.63%K -12.93%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-04 08:38
FanDuel🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-04 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 08:49
DraftKings🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-04 08:39
Betsson🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-04 08:39
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.98%E -6.27%K -14.64%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-04 08:39
1xBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-06-04 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 08:49
Coolbet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:50
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:40
Bovada🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:29
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-04 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-04 08:30
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:49
Unibet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-04 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
BetRivers🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 08:50
888sport🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -9.60%E -5.22%K -11.43%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -9.96%E -5.63%K -12.93%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-04 08:50
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.803%E -0.412%K -0.845%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-04 08:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -11.49%E -6.60%K -15.52%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-06-04 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。