The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 63.68%1.57fair odd
EV -0.660%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%63.90%63.57%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5671.43%68.03%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%36.10%36.43%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.602.8841.67%37.75%38.46%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 63.68%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 36.32%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +3.51%E +1.23%K +1.90%G +0.067%3.1%2026-05-30 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +2.06%E +0.733%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.6%2026-05-30 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +2.06%E +0.733%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.6%2026-05-30 04:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.70%E +0.606%K +0.943%G +0.016%6.1%2026-05-30 04:48
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.66%E -5.29%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.119%E -0.043%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 04:50
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.845%E -0.310%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 02:40
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 02:39
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 02:20
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 02:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 02:50
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:50
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 02:39
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.660%E -0.423%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 02:30
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:20
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 02:40
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 02:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 02:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 02:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.