L’École des cotes

Saitama Seibu Lions v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prévision 63.68%1.57cote équitable
EV -0.660%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%63.90%63.57%67.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5671.43%68.03%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.32%2.75cote équitable
EV +4.60%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +2.45%
Croissance +0.113%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%36.10%36.43%38.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.652.602.8841.67%37.75%38.46%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.60%E +1.60%K +2.45%G +0.113%6.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +3.51%E +1.23%K +1.90%G +0.067%3.1%2026-05-30 04:40
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +2.06%E +0.733%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.6%2026-05-30 04:40
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +2.06%E +0.733%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.6%2026-05-30 04:40
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.70%E +0.606%K +0.943%G +0.016%6.1%2026-05-30 04:48
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.66%E -5.29%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.119%E -0.043%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 04:50
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.845%E -0.310%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 04:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 02:40
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 02:39
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 02:20
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 02:39
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.12%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 02:50
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:50
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.38%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 02:39
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.660%E -0.423%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 02:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:19
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 02:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 02:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 02:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 02:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 02:48
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 04:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.