Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

2026-08-02 08:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 58.55%1.71fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%58.52%58.67%59.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.04%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 41.45%2.41fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%41.48%41.33%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.272.3546.51%44.08%43.96%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 58.55%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 41.45%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -2.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 14:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 15:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.43%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 21:14
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.16%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 16:25
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 14:19
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:19
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:19
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:25
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:04
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:04
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:04
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:03
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.18%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 14:05
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.91%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:04
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:15
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 15:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 17:04
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -3.00%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 20:33
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -10.06%E -4.64%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 14:10
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.89%E -5.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.89%E -5.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.