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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 57.76%1.73公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -3.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
55.87%57.77%57.74%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.55%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 42.24%2.37公平赔率
EV +0.109%
优势 +0.046%
Kelly +0.080%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.37

博彩公司预测分布
40.26%42.23%42.26%44.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.062.222.232.3748.54%45.00%44.84%42.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：57.76%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：42.24%。 对于“Orix Buffaloes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.367。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.370，对应+0.109%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV +0.109%E +0.046%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 06:29
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.00%E -0.863%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.00%E -0.863%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.47%E -6.76%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 05:29
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.69%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.27%E -3.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:54
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:44
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:44
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:03
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:50
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:49
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:49
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 07:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.27%E -3.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 07:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 22:59
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 07:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 07:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 07:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 07:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 07:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 07:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 07:53
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 07:54
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 22:59
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.61%E -4.49%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 07:39
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -11.30%E -5.38%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 07:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.32%E -5.93%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.30%E -5.38%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.47%E -6.76%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -12.99%E -6.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 07:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。