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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 46.20%2.16fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.12%46.27%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.16%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 53.80%1.86fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.845%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.88%53.73%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8360.24%57.17%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 46.20%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 53.80%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 08:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-20 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.16%E -1.76%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.83%E -2.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.24%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.24%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 00:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.75%E -2.82%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 08:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 08:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.91%E -5.08%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 08:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.37%E -5.35%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.62%E -5.72%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -11.30%E -5.88%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -1.55%E -0.845%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.22%E -6.43%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.69%E -6.44%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-20 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.