默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 46.20%2.16公平赔率

EV -2.98%

优势 -1.42%

Kelly -2.71%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

44.88%46.12%46.27%48.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.16%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 53.80%1.86公平赔率

EV -1.55%

优势 -0.845%

Kelly -1.86%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

51.20%53.88%53.73%55.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.661.751.751.8360.24%57.17%57.14%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：46.20%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：53.80%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.86。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.83，期望值为-1.55%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-20 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-20 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-20 08:23
Coolbet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-20 08:55
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-19 13:55
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.98%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-20 00:34
Pinnacle🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-20 08:50
1xBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.16%E -1.76%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-20 08:54
FanDuel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.83%E -2.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-20 08:40
Betsson🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.24%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-20 08:29
NordicBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.24%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-20 08:39
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-20 08:49
Unibet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
BetRivers🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
Bally Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-20 08:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-20 08:34
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.29%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-20 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.75%E -2.82%K -5.53%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-20 08:44
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-20 08:34
Bovada🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-20 08:18
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-20 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-20 08:34
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-20 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-20 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.93%E -4.00%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-20 08:55
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-20 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.91%E -5.08%K -10.43%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-20 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.37%E -5.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.62%E -5.72%K -14.14%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-08-20 08:49
BetUS🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -11.30%E -5.88%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -1.55%E -0.845%K -1.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-20 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.22%E -6.43%K -13.58%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.69%E -6.44%K -16.20%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-20 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。