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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 55.77%1.79fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.76%55.77%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7462.50%59.02%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 44.23%2.26fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.24%44.23%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.122.102.2351.02%47.18%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 55.77%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 44.23%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-26 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.36%E -0.611%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.13%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 06:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -6.67%E -3.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.19%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 08:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-26 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-27 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-26 23:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.31%E -6.79%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-27 08:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 06:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.