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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 63.90%1.56fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.97%63.86%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5470.92%68.05%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.116%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%36.03%36.14%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.632.632.9042.19%38.05%38.10%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 63.90%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 36.10%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.116% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 06:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV +0.353%E +0.127%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.09%E -0.398%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.09%E -0.398%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.53%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.53%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.98%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 05:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.79%E -3.21%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.70%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.06%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.51%E -2.32%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-11 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.59%E -1.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-11 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-11 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.36%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-11 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.70%EV -9.90%E -7.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -14.45%E -6.10%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-11 08:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.