L’École des cotes

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prévision 63.90%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.97%63.86%66.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.471.481.5470.92%68.05%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.10%2.77cote équitable
EV +4.68%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.116%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.03%36.03%36.14%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.632.632.9042.19%38.05%38.10%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.116%4.4%2026-06-11 06:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV +0.353%E +0.127%K +0.198%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-11 08:49
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 08:49
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:49
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -0.730%E -0.265%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.09%E -0.398%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 08:40
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.09%E -0.398%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 08:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.53%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 08:50
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.53%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 08:40
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.98%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 08:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 08:40
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 05:09
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.79%E -3.21%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.70%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 08:50
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.06%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 08:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 08:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 08:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 08:49
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 08:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 02:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.51%E -2.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 08:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 08:39
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 08:40
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.59%E -1.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 08:50
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 08:49
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 08:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 08:49
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-11 08:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.36%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.70%EV -9.90%E -7.02%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -14.45%E -6.10%K -10.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-11 08:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.