The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-08-07 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 41.43%2.41fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.86%41.54%41.33%43.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.35%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 58.57%1.71fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.99%58.46%58.67%59.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.76%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 41.43%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 58.57%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -2.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.22%E -0.939%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 16:38
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 15:09
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.54%E -2.78%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 15:30
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:10
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 15:10
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 15:09
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 15:09
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 15:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 15:08
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 15:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.78%E -1.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.22%E -5.95%K -16.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 15:09
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.81%E -6.37%K -18.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.