Language:English
Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +2.55%
Kelly +4.14%
Growth +0.276%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.11%40.81%40.96%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.302.302.6146.73%43.48%43.48%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%59.19%59.04%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.591.6666.23%62.81%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 40.87%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.13%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +6.66%E +2.55%K +4.14%G +0.276% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -8.94%E -5.80%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.693%E -0.285%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.94%E -5.80%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.43%E -1.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.37%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.20%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 15:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.54%E -5.86%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-07 08:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.