默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-07 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

41%

59%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 40.87%2.45公平赔率

EV +6.66%

优势 +2.55%

Kelly +4.14%

增长率 +0.276%

假设最高赔率为 2.61

博彩公司预测分布

37.11%40.81%40.96%42.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.142.302.302.6146.73%43.48%43.48%38.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 59.13%1.69公平赔率

EV -1.84%

优势 -1.11%

Kelly -2.79%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布

57.62%59.19%59.04%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.591.591.6666.23%62.81%62.89%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：40.87%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：59.13%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.61，对应+6.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +6.66%E +2.55%K +4.14%G +0.276%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -8.94%E -5.80%K -16.55%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-07 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.693%E -0.285%K -0.485%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-07 08:49
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 08:50
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.33%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 08:50
Bovada🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.92%E -0.800%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.94%E -5.80%K -16.55%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-07 08:50
FanDuel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-07 08:50
Pinnacle🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.43%E -1.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-07 08:45
BetUS🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-07 08:50
DraftKings🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.46%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-07 08:50
William Hill🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.37%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:55
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-07 08:50
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.20%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 08:44
Caesars🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-07 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-07 08:50
ReBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-07 08:50
BetMGM🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-06 21:55
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 08:50
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:05
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:05
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:05
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:03
Coral🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-06 21:40
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.54%E -5.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-07 08:53

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。