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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-08-09 08:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.90%44.01%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%56.10%55.99%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7262.50%59.69%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 43.97%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 56.03%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.23, with an expected value of -1.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.95%E -0.875%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:50
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:19
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:20
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.57%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:32
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.59%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 15:44
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 19:05
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.55%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.43%E -4.58%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:49
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.