默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 08:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 43.33%2.31公平赔率

EV -2.07%

优势 -0.918%

Kelly -1.65%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%43.33%43.28%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.022.172.182.2649.50%46.18%45.87%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 56.67%1.76公平赔率

EV -3.09%

优势 -1.81%

Kelly -4.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%56.67%56.72%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.671.671.7163.69%60.01%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：43.33%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：56.67%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.26，期望值为-2.07%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.07%E -0.918%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-09 07:30
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.23%E -2.50%K -6.13%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-09 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-09 05:25
LowVig.ag🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-09 05:25
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-09 05:05
1xBet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-09 07:44
NordicBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 07:39
Betsson🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 07:44
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 04:58
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-09 05:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.55%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-09 07:44
William Hill🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.11%E -2.33%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:40
Unibet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:45
BetRivers🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:40
PMU (FR)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:44
Bally Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:40
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.23%E -2.50%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-09 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-08 14:20
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-09 07:54
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-09 05:04
BetMGM🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-09 01:49
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-09 07:05
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-09 05:04
BetUS🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 07:54
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-09 07:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-09 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-09 07:55
Coral🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-09 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.17%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.55%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-09 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -12.47%E -6.17%K -12.23%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.27%EV -11.03%E -7.02%K -19.35%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-09 07:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。