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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%41.14%40.87%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.292.302.3848.54%43.71%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 59.07%1.69fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.21%58.86%59.13%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.591.7464.94%62.43%62.89%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 40.93%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.07%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +2.78%E +1.60%K +3.76%G +0.105% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -15.68%E -7.61%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +2.78%E +1.60%K +3.76%G +0.105% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -9.54%E -4.32%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV +1.01%E +0.590%K +1.42%G +0.014% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.35%E -0.811%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.35%E -0.811%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 22:37 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.44%E -5.45%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.44%E -5.45%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.03%E -5.87%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.