La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Inizio: 2026-04-21 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 40.93%2.44quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.90%41.14%40.87%45.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.062.292.302.3848.54%43.71%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.07%1.69quota equa
EV +2.78%
Vantaggio +1.60%
Kelly +3.76%
Crescita +0.105%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.21%58.86%59.13%60.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.601.591.7464.94%62.43%62.89%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +2.78%E +1.60%K +3.76%G +0.105%2.9%2026-04-21 08:55
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -15.68%E -7.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +2.78%E +1.60%K +3.76%G +0.105%6.0%2026-04-21 08:54
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -9.54%E -4.32%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV +1.01%E +0.590%K +1.42%G +0.014%3.7%2026-04-21 08:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.35%E -0.811%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:30
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.35%E -0.811%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 08:54
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 08:55
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 12:54
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 08:55
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 08:55
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 08:54
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 08:39
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 08:55
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 08:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 08:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:54
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 12:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 08:55
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:40
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:37
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 08:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 12:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 12:15
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 12:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 08:54
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:40
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:40
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.44%E -5.45%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.44%E -5.45%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.03%E -5.87%K -16.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 08:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.