默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-05-06 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 42.36%2.36公平赔率

EV -1.73%

优势 -0.746%

Kelly -1.31%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.32

博彩公司预测分布

40.26%42.30%42.31%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.222.202.3246.51%45.09%45.45%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 57.64%1.73公平赔率

EV -2.58%

优势 -1.53%

Kelly -3.75%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.99%57.70%57.69%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.641.641.6964.52%61.13%60.98%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：42.36%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：57.64%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.36。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.32，期望值为-1.73%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.73%E -0.746%K -1.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-06 03:44
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-06 03:35
FanDuel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-06 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.65%E -6.87%K -19.37%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-06 03:35
William Hill🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.42%E -1.50%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.31%E -2.60%K -6.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-05 14:55
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-06 03:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-06 03:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-06 03:34
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-06 03:35
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-06 03:35
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-06 03:35
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-06 03:34
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.31%E -2.60%K -6.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-06 03:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.39%E -2.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-06 03:40
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-05 23:14
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-06 03:34
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-06 03:35
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-06 03:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-06 03:34
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-06 03:34
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-06 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-06 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-06 03:39
Everygame🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-06 03:35
BetUS🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.66%E -3.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-06 03:50
BetRivers🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:39
Unibet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:39
PMU (FR)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-06 03:39
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-05 13:35
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-05 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-05-06 03:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。