La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Inizio: 2026-05-06 04:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 42.36%2.36quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.746%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.26%42.30%42.31%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.222.202.3246.51%45.09%45.45%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.64%1.73quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%57.70%57.69%59.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.641.641.6964.52%61.13%60.98%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.73%E -0.746%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 03:44
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 03:35
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 03:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.65%E -6.87%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 03:35
William Hill2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.42%E -1.50%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.31%E -2.60%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 14:55
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 03:35
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 03:34
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:35
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:35
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 03:34
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.31%E -2.60%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:39
MyBookie.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.39%E -2.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 03:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 23:14
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:34
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:35
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 03:34
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 03:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 03:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 03:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 03:35
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.66%E -3.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 03:50
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:39
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:40
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:40
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:39
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.08%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 03:39
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 13:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 03:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.