Language:English
Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.972%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%35.64%35.47%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.602.8941.67%37.97%38.46%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%64.36%64.53%66.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.16%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 35.57%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 64.43%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV +2.81%E +0.972%K +1.49%G +0.042% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.82%E -0.658%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -8.22%E -3.19%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.43%E -0.934%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 07:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.43%E -0.934%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.