默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-04-23 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

36%

64%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 35.57%2.81公平赔率

EV +2.81%

优势 +0.972%

Kelly +1.49%

增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 2.89

博彩公司预测分布

33.56%35.64%35.47%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.402.632.602.8941.67%37.97%38.46%34.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 64.43%1.55公平赔率

EV -1.43%

优势 -0.934%

Kelly -2.70%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布

61.07%64.36%64.53%66.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.16%68.03%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：35.57%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：64.43%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.81。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.89，对应+2.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV +2.81%E +0.972%K +1.49%G +0.042%	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.91%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-04-23 08:54
1xBet🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.020%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-23 08:54
BetUS🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.020%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-23 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-23 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-23 08:34
DraftKings🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.392%E -0.140%K -0.218%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-23 08:54
FanDuel🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.82%E -0.658%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-23 08:40
Bovada🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-23 08:49
888sport🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-23 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-23 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.17%E -0.790%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-23 08:54
Fanatics🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-23 08:40
ReBet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.91%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-23 08:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-23 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-23 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-23 08:39
NordicBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-23 08:44
Betsson🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-23 08:44
Coolbet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-23 06:29
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-22 23:15
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-23 08:39
William Hill🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -8.22%E -3.19%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.43%E -0.934%K -2.70%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-22 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-23 07:45
Everygame🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-23 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.63%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-23 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 21:54
Unibet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 21:55
Bally Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-22 22:00
Coral🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-04-22 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.06%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.27%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-04-23 08:49
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.62%E -6.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.43%E -0.934%K -2.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-22 13:29

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。