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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 40.76%2.45fair odd
EV -0.950%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.664%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.32%40.54%40.72%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.332.322.4344.64%42.95%43.10%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 59.24%1.69fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%59.46%59.28%61.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.34%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 40.76%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.24%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.950%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.17%E -0.905%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-04 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 03:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 03:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 12:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.43%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.43%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 11:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 04:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 11:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 04:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.69%E -3.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.