默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

41%

59%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 40.76%2.45公平赔率

EV -0.950%

优势 -0.391%

Kelly -0.664%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布

38.32%40.54%40.72%42.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.242.332.322.4344.64%42.95%43.10%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 59.24%1.69公平赔率

EV -2.26%

优势 -1.37%

Kelly -3.47%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

57.58%59.46%59.28%61.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.34%63.69%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：40.76%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：59.24%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-0.950%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-05 04:49
BetRivers🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:49
Bally Bet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -0.950%E -0.391%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -10.55%E -6.99%K -20.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:50
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.17%E -0.905%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-04 11:30
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-04 11:35
Pinnacle🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-05 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-05 03:24
LowVig.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-05 03:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-04 12:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-05 04:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-04 21:20
1xBet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-05 04:44
FanDuel🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.43%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-05 04:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.43%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-04 11:33
Betsson🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 04:50
NordicBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 04:50
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 04:45
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-05 04:43
Caesars🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.85%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-04 11:34
ReBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-05 04:04
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-04 11:35
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-04 14:15
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-05 04:29
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-04 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-04 11:30
Everygame🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-05 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-04 11:35
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-05 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-05-05 04:49
BetUS🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.69%E -3.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.26%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 04:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。