The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-07-14 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 58.54%1.71fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.99%58.55%58.67%61.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6665%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%41.45%41.33%43.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.4847%44%44%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -7.51%E -4.75%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV +2.83%E +1.14%K +1.91%G +0.054%3.6%2026-07-13 14:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.755%E +0.311%K +0.528%G +0.004%2.9%2026-07-13 20:45
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.41%E -2.07%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-13 14:30
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.41%E -2.07%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.41%E -2.07%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-13 16:49
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 16:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 18:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 14:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 20:40
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 14:35
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 14:34
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.63%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 19:58
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 14:33
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-13 13:39
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 14:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 14:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 14:37
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 14:30
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 14:30
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 14:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:30
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:34
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:34
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:39
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 14:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 14:39
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.76%E -3.57%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 14:39
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.68%E -5.57%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.68%E -5.57%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 21:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.