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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 58.86%1.70fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.83%58.90%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.61%62.70%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -0.019%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.17%41.10%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.79%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 58.86%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 41.14%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.4305. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.4300, with an expected value of -0.019%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.668%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.668%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.30%E -1.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 08:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 08:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.07%E -2.49%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 08:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:30 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:29 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:22 |
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.019%E -0.008%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 08:34 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.01%E -4.44%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.95%E -6.50%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -9.95%E -6.50%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -13.60%E -6.47%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.