L’École des cotes

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-14 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prévision 58.86%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%58.83%58.90%60.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.61%62.70%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.14%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.019%
Avantage -0.008%
Kelly -0.013%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.70%41.17%41.10%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.79%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.668%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 08:39
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.668%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 08:35
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.30%E -1.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-14 08:50
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 08:44
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 08:25
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 08:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.89%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 08:44
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.07%E -2.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 08:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 08:34
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 08:35
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 08:49
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 08:35
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:30
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:35
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:29
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.26%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:22
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.019%E -0.008%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-14 08:25
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 08:34
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 08:49
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.01%E -4.44%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 08:44
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:45
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:45
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:45
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:44
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 08:45
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 08:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 08:39
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 08:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 08:39
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 08:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 08:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 08:49
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.95%E -6.50%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 08:54
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -9.95%E -6.50%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -13.60%E -6.47%K -12.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-14 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.