Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-08-15 08:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.96%54.09%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.761.8060.24%57.14%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.04%45.91%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1152.36%49.29%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 54.01%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 45.99%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -2.78%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 17:35
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:24
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.89%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 12:29
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:14
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:17
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:34
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 12:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 16:55
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -8.72%E -5.16%K -12.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 12:33
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -12.16%E -6.37%K -13.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.34%E -6.23%K -15.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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