默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-08-15 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 55.63%1.80公平赔率

EV -1.53%

优势 -0.864%

Kelly -1.99%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

53.30%55.53%55.70%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.701.711.7762.50%58.67%58.65%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 44.37%2.25公平赔率

EV -1.06%

优势 -0.476%

Kelly -0.863%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%44.47%44.30%46.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.972.092.102.2350.76%47.74%47.62%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：55.63%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：44.37%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.25。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.23，期望值为-1.06%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetRivers🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:39
Unibet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.53%E -0.864%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.14%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 04:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 04:10
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.05%E -4.41%K -8.62%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-14 14:34
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.05%E -4.41%K -8.62%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-15 00:15
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.28%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-15 04:29
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.27%E -5.63%K -11.27%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-15 00:14
Pinnacle🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.31%E -2.51%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.06%E -0.476%K -0.863%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 07:54
BetUS🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.31%E -2.51%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -7.27%E -3.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 07:45
Coolbet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 07:23
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 05:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:05
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.17%E -1.93%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 05:14
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 04:14
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 04:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.94%E -2.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 05:19
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.98%E -3.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-15 07:54
ReBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 07:14
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 05:15
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 04:03
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 04:05
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 04:29
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 04:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 04:29
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.09%E -4.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 05:14
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.32%E -5.72%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.27%E -5.63%K -11.27%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-15 07:48
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.87%E -6.10%K -15.93%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-15 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.99%E -6.87%K -18.31%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-15 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -10.99%E -6.87%K -18.31%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -12.60%E -6.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-08-15 07:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。