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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 54.97%1.82fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.07%54.94%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.711.7861.73%58.77%58.65%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 45.03%2.22fair odd
EV -0.941%
Edge -0.428%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.93%45.06%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.2051.28%47.63%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 54.97%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 45.03%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.941%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.25%E -1.84%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.09%E -1.92%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 08:45 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.54%E -2.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-16 04:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 08:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 04:10 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.54%E -2.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-16 04:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-16 04:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.941%E -0.428%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.941%E -0.428%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 04:10 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 08:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-16 04:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 22:40 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 08:40 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 04:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-15 22:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-16 06:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.40%E -5.22%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.94%E -6.76%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.20%E -6.26%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-16 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.