La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Inizio: 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 54.97%1.82quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%55.07%54.94%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.711.7861.73%58.77%58.65%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.03%2.22quota equa
EV -0.941%
Vantaggio -0.428%
Kelly -0.784%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%44.93%45.06%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.102.102.2051.28%47.63%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-16 08:55
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.25%E -1.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.09%E -1.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 08:45
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.54%E -2.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 04:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 08:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 08:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 08:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 04:10
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 08:50
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.54%E -2.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 04:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 04:10
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 04:15
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.941%E -0.428%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 08:55
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.941%E -0.428%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 08:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 04:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 13:24
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 14:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 08:55
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 08:13
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 04:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 22:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 08:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 04:05
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 13:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 13:24
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-15 22:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 06:40
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-16 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.40%E -5.22%K -10.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.94%E -6.76%K -17.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.20%E -6.26%K -12.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-16 08:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.