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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 56.27%1.78fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.37%56.27%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7462.89%59.90%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV -0.307%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.63%43.73%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.152.152.2850.25%46.41%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 56.27%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.73%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.307%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.90%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.90%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 06:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.23%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.59%EV -10.52%E -6.62%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.41%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.