La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Inizio: 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 56.27%1.78quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%56.37%56.27%57.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.671.671.7462.89%59.90%59.88%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.73%2.29quota equa
EV -0.307%
Vantaggio -0.135%
Kelly -0.240%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%43.63%43.73%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.152.152.2850.25%46.41%46.51%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 08:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.36%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 08:39
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 08:48
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 08:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:50
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.90%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:50
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.90%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 08:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 08:50
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 13:49
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:50
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:47
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 08:50
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.307%E -0.135%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 06:19
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 23:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.15%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:00
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:10
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:10
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.40%E -5.84%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.23%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.80%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.59%EV -10.52%E -6.62%K -17.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.41%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 08:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.