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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.73%52.85%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.771.8758.14%55.99%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%47.27%47.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.34%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 52.79%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 47.21%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.28%E -0.687%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.687%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.72%E -6.26%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.81%E -0.975%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.16%E -2.05%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.81%E -0.975%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 07:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.34%E -1.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -11.24%E -5.98%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.45%E -2.46%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.63%E -2.29%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.63%E -2.29%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 07:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.80%E -0.866%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.99%E -3.55%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 14:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 07:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.62%E -4.35%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.62%E -4.35%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 05:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.35%E -4.87%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.20%E -5.35%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.