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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-04-11 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 52.79%1.89公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.73%52.85%53.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.791.771.8758.14%55.99%56.50%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 47.21%2.12公平赔率
EV -1.80%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.11%47.27%47.15%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.34%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：52.79%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：47.21%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.89。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.87，期望值为-1.28%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.28%E -0.687%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 07:55
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.687%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.72%E -6.26%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 07:54
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.81%E -0.975%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.16%E -2.05%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 07:15
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.81%E -0.975%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 07:50
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.34%E -1.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -11.24%E -5.98%K -12.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 07:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.45%E -2.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.63%E -2.29%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.63%E -2.29%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 07:15
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 07:14
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 14:15
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.80%E -0.866%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.99%E -3.55%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 14:18
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 14:14
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 22:19
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 07:04
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.62%E -4.35%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 22:25
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.62%E -4.35%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 05:04
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.94%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:14
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.68%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.35%E -4.87%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.20%E -5.35%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 01:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。